NCAA Football - Louisville vs Kentucky Pointspread Analysis

An exciting matchup should be in the offing on Sunday as Louisville hosts Kentucky in the battle for the Governor’s Cup.  Kentucky was 8-5 last season but suffered a number of off-season losses and is looking at a rebuilding season.  Louisville slipped to 6-6 last season and missed out on a bowl game for the first time in more than 10 years. Second year head coach Steve Kragthorpe is looking for better things this season. SBG Global reports that early NCAA Football betting has the public taking Louisville at Home.

Kentucky has to replace a lot of talent from last season including quarterback Andre Woodson.  Mike Hartline takes the reins this season for the Wildcats. Wide receiver Dicky Lyons returns after catching 56 balls last year while senior Tony Dixon returns to the lead the running game.  The Kentucky defense last season was weak, giving up almost 30 points per game but they do return eight starters from last year’s squad.

Louisville has to replace quarterback Brian Brohm and the task falls to senior quarterback Hunter Cantwell.  He will have a new offensive coordinator in Jeff Brohm, brother of Brian. All of the receivers are also gone so Louisville is going to slip offensively this season.  The defense is not in much better shape as just four starters return.  Ron English is the new defensive coordinator for the Cardinals.

Here is a look at the NCAA Football betting stats for Sunday’s game. Kentucky leads the all-time series, 11-9, although Louisville has won seven of the last nine meetings. Last year Kentucky won 40-34 on a 57-yard bomb in the final moments. The Wildcats are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Wildcats are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

The Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between the two teams.

The Over is 5-2 in the Wildcats last 7 games on grass. The Over is 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games. The Under is 5-2 in the Cardinals last 7 vs. the SEC. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between the two teams.