Every year for the past five years has been the Texans year, at least
according to the NFL pundits and so called “experts” but I don’t see it
happing until Gary Kubiak is gone. The Texans open their season at home
against the stalwarts of the AFC South, the Indianapolis Colts. The
bookmakers are playing into the Texans delusion as they have set the football betting line much closer than it probably should be against the Colts.
The NFL odds have set the football betting line with the visiting Colts as the -2-point favorites and a bet on the underdog Texans will pay bettors +110 on the moneyline.
Football Betting Lines
Indianapolis Colts -2 -110 -130
Houston Texans +2 -110 +110
Game Total 47½
Location: Reliant Stadium – Houston TX
Game Time: 1:00pm
TV: CBS
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The Houston Texans have lost 15 of 16 games against the Indianapolis Colts but like has been the story the pundits are making the Texans as their trendy pick to break through. To be fair to the Texans, they have a fantastic quarterback-receiver combination in Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson, as last season Schaub threw for 4770 yards and Johnson led the league with 1569 receiving yards.
The Texans run game is suspect; Steve Slaton had a solid rookie year but fell off last season and will back up Arian Foster. Foster was solid in six games last season averaging 4.8 yards a game. However now that their opponents have had a chance to see what he brings, that number will drop considerably.
The Houston Texans defense is young and improving but right now, especially after some poor showings in the preseason it’s clear the defense isn’t on the same level as the Texans pass game.
It’s hard to bet against Peyton Manning in any game and especially in any game where the line is less than a field goal. Manning is waiting for his new contract and after Tom Brady signed to be the highest paid player in the league, Manning will get his soon.
The Colts are still the favorites to win the AFC South, beyond Peyton Manning, the team doesn’t have any superstars and that’s worked fine for the past decade. They play like robots and just win, the winning is dominant in September where they have a .813 winning percentage over the past decade. It’s their best month of the season.
Manning has Reggie Wayne back but look for Pierre Garcon to take some of the big plays that Wayne is used to getting. Dallas Clark is still money, Austin Collie had a great rookie season catching 676 yards and seven touchdowns and those numbers should improve in 2010.
The Indianapolis Colts defense is always a question mark but the team seems to answer it every year. They begin the season with Dwight Freeney and Bob Sanders healthy and they will cause enough problems for the Texans offense to keep their scoring to a minimum.
These teams have played several close games over the years and part of that has to do with the Texans treating this game like their Super Bowl. The line of just -2 on the Colts looks fantastic to me and I think the Colts win this game by 10.
NFL Betting Pick: Indianapolis Colts -2
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