Football Betting

New England Patriots Vs Buffalo Bills Point Spread Free Pick

In their history against one another, the Patriots have been absurdly dominant against Buffalo. The Bills haven’t beaten New England in over five years, piling up a 0-10 SU record and a 3-7 ATS streak against the Pats. With Tom Brady and Randy Moss being scrutinized by the Panthers last week, revenge will be key. Yet the Patriots bandwagon is worried that this game has “disaster” written all over it.

The main reason your Boston friends will be so pessimistic is because of the way things have been going in New England…or rather for sports in New England. The Colts are perfect and they decimated the Patriots on Sunday Night Football betting with a brutal “4 th and 2” call by Uncle Bill. The Lakers and the Yankees both won championships this year and the Bruins are a shadow of themselves yet again. It’s one thing to see one of your main rivals doing well, but it’s entirely demoralizing when three of your arch-rivals are enjoying success. New England fans love hanging themselves by a noose, but I’m not so sure what they’re concerned about.

The Patriots have a legitimate chance of going 11-5 SU in an ugly season. Of course most of the concerns surround the fact that the Patriots are in authoritative disarray right now with key players being benched (Adalius Thomas) and their star player, Randy Moss, being blamed for taking off plays.

It also doesn’t help matters that New England is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games as well. A major part of the scare in New England was the telling Monday Night Football matchup between these two, where New England rallied in the fourth to survive 25-24 after a fumble by the Bills. The Patriots are also just 2-3 SU in their last 5 games. If you’re being tricked in to doubting the Patriots by your buddies who support them, then I’ve got news for you – you’re an idiot.

New England Patriots (8-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-8)

Sunday, December 20 th --- Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo --- 1:00pm EST

NFL Betting Line: New England -7 (40.5)

The Bills are simply brutal and there’s no reason to get excited about a 16-10 win over a sputtering Chiefs team. Orchard Park is not even friendly to its home team, and the Bills have gone just 2-9 SU/ATS in their last 11 home games. Cue an 0-5 SU/ATS record when hosting the Patriots and you have a recipe for a blowout win by the Patriots. The other reason this is going to be difficult for the Bills is because of Terrell Owens.

It’s not that I’m scared of Owens blowing up for a huge game in the freezing weather. It’s more that Owens, for some reason, always brings out the best in Randy Moss by merely existing. The two have exchanged chops in the past and this game will be no different, with the slight exception that both are going to keep their mouths shut leading up to the game. With Moss getting blasted by the media, the fans and critics, he’s about to have a huge bounce back game as the Patriots throw it in cruise control and crush the Bills. Bank on it.

Furious Free Pick: New England -7 (OVER)

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Point Spread Free Pick

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
Kick-off: 7:00 pm EST

Tradition is now set with the NFL showcasing two games on Monday. The first game, the early game, will pit the Buffalo Bills against the New England Patriots. The NFL odds on the game might surprise some betting fans as the New England Patriots, with an already banged up Tom Brady under center, are a huge favorites to beat the Buffalo Bills.

Buffalo has their own issues. In fact because they just dropped their offensive coordinator before the season started, the NFL odds on this game might make total sense. It’s going to be tough to institute a brand new offense, or have the quarterbacks, wide receivers and running backs take directions from a new coordinator without practice. Buffalo has about seven days of practice before doing it, but that practice might not be enough.

Here are the NFL odds in the BetUS online sportsbook for this game.

Buffalo Bills +10 ½ -110 +500 O 47 ½ -110

New England Patriots -10 ½ -110` -700 U 47 ½ -110

Here are a few online wagering trends for this game.

• The Buffalo Bills are 1 and 5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team from the AFC East.
• The Buffalo Bills are 2 and 6 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in New England.
• The Under is 9 and 1 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in New England.
• The Under is 19 and 7 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams.

Make no mistake the New England Patriots are going to put up some points, but their defense isn’t very good. Does that mean that the Buffalo Bills put up points? Maybe, maybe not.

The truth is that the Bills just aren’t going to be very solid in this game with a new offensive coordinator. That just doesn’t happen in the NFL which is why the NFL odds are what they are in this game.

The New England Patriots could put up 21 to 42 points in this game depending on how Buffalo’s defense responds after the initial score. In any case, I don’t see the Bills doing much on offense which causes a dilemma as far as the NFL odds are concerned. What bet makes the most sense in this game?

Buffalo’s defense lost starter Jabari Greer over the off season to the New Orleans Saints. They aren’t capable of stopping that New England offense which means that even though I hate to give up so many points this early in the NFL Season, I have to do it. The best of wager above is on New England at -10 ½ in the sportsbook.

I’m going to go with the New England Patriots to cover at the NFL odds of -10 ½ -110 in the BetUS online sportsbook.

Buffalo vs New England Pointspread Preview

Buffalo at New England (-11, 47) – 7 PM ET

Get your popcorn ready, because Terrell Owens and the Bills could be in for a long night in their season opener against the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

Buffalo needed a boost after going 7-9 (7-9 ATS) last year, and they hope to get it with the mercurial Owens now on board. Things didn’t go very smoothly in the preseason for the Bills, who went 1-4 (1-3-1 ATS). Buffalo’s first-team offense scored only three points in 15 series in the preseason, so it fired offensive coordinator Turk Schonert a little over a week ago.

New play caller Alex Van Pelt plans to employ the same no-huddle offense as his predecessor, but there’s little doubt the transition phase is going to cost the Bills on Monday night. Buffalo would have a tough go of it at the best of times – it hasn’t defeated New England since 2003 – so switching offensive coordinators a week before the season clearly doesn’t help matters.

There’s also the problem of Brady, who makes his return under center for the Pats after missing virtually all of 2008 with a knee injury. New England cashed in both meetings last season without Brady, and has won 11 straight games (9-2 ATS) against Buffalo. The average score during the streak is 29-9, although that’s skewed by the Pats’ 56-10 drubbing as 16-point road chalk the last time Brady faced the Bills in 2007.

Bill Belichick brings a new-look defense into the season, and how it performs will determine New England’s success at the window in 2009. Gone are veterans Rodney Harrison, Mike Vrabel, Tedy Bruschi, and Richard Seymour, the latter of whom was dealt to Oakland just last week. The unit figures to be led by linebackers Jerod Mayo and Adalius Thomas, while newcomers Leigh Bodden and Shawn Springs bolster the secondary.

NFL Off-season Losers

NFL betting enthusiasts that are gearing up for the start of the 2009 NFL season should know that, in the new-age NFL, franchises that makes the right free agent transactions during the NFL’s annual offseason free agent signing period, can be lifted from the status of pretender to legitimate contender in the blink of an eye.

However, for those teams that don’t make the correct free agent transactions, either by failing to address a key need – or by bringing in the wrong players – can reverse their good fortunes just as quickly as a blossoming team can improve.

With that said, this look at the worst NFL free agent transactions this offseason. With NFL training camps getting under way in a matter of weeks, let’s get started.

Philadelphia Eagles

While the Philadelphia Eagles (9-6-1 SU, 10-6 ATS, 7-8-1 O/U in 2008) pulled off two solid free agent signings by adding veteran cornerback Ellis Hobbs and Pro Bowl offensive tackle Jason Peters, the Birds also make the list for teams that made some of the worst offseason free agent decisions as well.

Fist and foremost, the Eagles’ failure to land – or even go after – disgruntled Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Anquan Boldin – was a huge mistake that can not be understated in my estimation. Boldin would have given the Eagles the first top-flight receiver that Donovan McNabb has had since Terrell Owens took his idiotic act out of the City of Brotherly Love following a brief but tumultuous tenure with the Birds a few seasons ago. No disrespect to feet-footed soon-to-be second-year receiver DeSean Jackson, who I think is going to be a star one day, but Boldin could have been an immediate difference-maker for the Eagles and one that could have helped to push the Super Bowl contenders over the top.

The Eagles also make this list for parting ways with too many of their former players that could have still been key contributors to the team’s success this coming season, most notably, veteran safety Brian Dawkins, a player that can still get the job done and ‘lay the hammer’ almost as well as any safety in the game today.

Philadelphia also let running back Correll Buckhalter, wide receiver Greg Lewis, tight end L.J. Smith, tackle Tra Thomas and cornerback Lito Sheppard, but the biggest and most perplexing loss was that of Dawkins. The Eagles are +1600 to win Super Bowl XLIV in the BetUS Sportsbook.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers (9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS, 8-8 O/U in 2008) foolishly parted ways with at least two veterans that could still help this team in a big way in quarterback Jeff Garcia and running back Warrick Dunn. Tampa Bay also parted ways with a slew of other veterans including wide receivers Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard, tight end, Alex Smith, longtime Pro Bowl linebacker Derrick Brooks and defensive end Kevin Carter.

Now, the only reason I won’t rip the Buccaneers and their front office personnel too much is the fact that this franchise is clearly headed in a new direction under first-time NFL head coach Raheem Morris and is basically building from the ground up with a plethora of young players.

Expect Tampa Bay to take a step back In 2009 from its 9-7 SU record they posted in 2008 as the begin a rebuilding process that will almost assuredly leave them on the outside looking in come playoff time in the powerful NFC. The Buccaneers are +4000 to win Super Bowl XLIV in the BetUS Sportsbook.

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo (7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS, 8-7-1 O/U in 2008) foolishly added divisive, head case wideout Terrell Owens after the Dallas Cowboys washed their hands of the problem-causing Owens following another tumultuous season in Dallas. Now, were the Bills a legitimate Super Bowl contender that just need a playmaking wide receiver that could have helped them to make a Super Bowl appearance in either the first or second year, I would not have put Buffalo on this list, but the fact of the matter is that Buffalo is no closer to reaching the Super Bowl out of the AFC than they were before they signed the mercurial wide receiver. However, the Bills are not a title contender and the addition of Owens may do nothing but cause future problems for young quarterback Trent Edwards once Owens begins his almost-certain finger pointing, usually in the direction of the team’s starting quarterback. Maybe it’s me, but I say this free agent signing has been the strangest one of all this offseason. The Bills are +5000 to win Super Bowl XLIV in the BetUS Sportsbook.

Miami Dolphins and Chicago Bears

I put both, the Dolphins (11-5 SU, 8-8 ATS, 6-10 O/U) and Bears (9-7 SU, 6-8-2 ATS, 7-9 O/U) on this list for their respective failures to go after Arizona Cardinals disgruntled wide receiver Anquan Boldin despite each team’s painstakingly apparent needs at the position. The Cardinals wanted two second-round draft picks for the Pro Bowl receiver and I think those demands were very reasonable from Arizona. Miami and Chicago both decided to draft two receivers before the fifth round; clearly taking their chances that their selections will turn out to be key contributors in the near futures rather than take their chances on a high-priced veteran that could help them win right away. Chicago could have given new quarterback Jay Cutler a legitimate No. 1 receiver to work with this season, but now the Bears and Fins will both begin the 2009 season with the same question marks at the wide receiver position. out The Dolphins are +5000 to win Super Bowl XLIV in the BetUS Sportsbook while the Bears are +2000 to win this upcoming season’s Super Bowl championship.

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins PointSpread Free Pick

NFL betting odds: BUFFALO -1, Total 42.5

NOTABLE STAT: Buffalo has scored a TD only 46.3% of the time in the red zone

KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Bills are 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings

The Miami Dolphins (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) are surprising everyone by staying in the AFC East title race. On Sunday they try to take an other positive step to remain in the thick of things when they take on the fading Buffalo Bills (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) in NFL pro football sports betting action that is set to get underway at 4:05 PM ET at the Rogers Centre (artificial turf) in Toronto.

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In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Bills are listed as a one-point favorite, with a posted total of 42.5 points.

Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

• * MIA has covered one of its last five games
• * MIA has won five of its last six games SU
• * MIA has lost 17 of its last 25 games SU
• * MIA has played five of its last six games UNDER the total
• * MIA has covered four of its last six road games
• * MIA has lost 12 of its last 15 road games SU
• * BUFF has lost five of its last six games SU
• * BUFF has covered one of its last six games
• * BUFF has covered one of its last five home games
• * BUFF has played seven of its last ten home games OVER the total

Also...

• * BUFF has covered eight of the last nine meetings
• * BUFF has won four of the last five meetings SU
• * Four of the last five meetings have gone UNDER the total
• * BUFF has won and covered five of the last six meetings as the home team

These teams are going in somewhat opposite directions. After four games of the season, the Bills looked like the team that might take command of this division, as they were undefeated, with wins over two playoff teams from last season (Seattle and Jacksonville). But the Bills have won just twice since, while Miami has come on like a house afire, with five wins in its last six games.

Of course, the turning point in the Dolphins' season is considered to be the road game at Foxboro, where coach Tony Sporano's staff broke out the "Wildcat" offense and surprised the hell out of Bill Belichick in the 38-13 win. Miami has gone about proving that was no fluke, and could find itself playing the Jets in the season's final game with the division title on the line. A lot of people have talked about some of the great quarterbacking in the AFC, but Chad Pennington has really managed to hold the fort down for the 'Fins, posting his usually high percentage rate (65% completions) while tossing just six interceptions. But it's been a combination of the Dolphins doing a lot of little things well.

As for the Bills, inconsistency has been the key. Buffalo rang up 54 points against Kansas City two weeks ago, but let the Chiefs rumble for 31 points and 462 yards themselves. Last week, however, Buffalo was only able to squeeze a field goal out of its efforts in losing a decision to San Francisco at Orchard Park, but stymied the Niners offense, allowing only 195 yards. J.P. Losman could get the call at quarterback here - he's been a solid 26 for 38 thus far. but this team can not seem to perform in the red zone against anyone other than Kansas City, and offensive coordinator Turk Schonert has taken a lot of the abuse for that.

Of course, the Bills' woes in the red zone, which extend back to last season, were the rationale for drafting James Hardy, but he's been a bust even when healthy, with just nine catches. Indeed, Buffalo has converted only 46.3% of its red zone opportunities into touchdowns, which means TDs that turn into field goals, except they missed a couple last week that could have helped make the difference in their defeat. Since Miami is not above winning ugly (witness last week's victory at St. Louis), we're going to look UNDER the 42.5 points as it is posted in the BetUS NFL football betting odds.

JAY'S PLAY: UNDER 42.5 **

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

Buffalo Bills Point Spread Pick

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• Cleveland Browns +5½ -110
• Buffalo Bills -5½ -110
• Over 40½ -110
• Under 40½ -110

The Buffalo Bills (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS, 4-4-1 O/U) have dropped three straight games in the BetUS Sportsbook!

The Cleveland Browns (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS, 4-5 O/U) have seen their 2008-09 regular season go down in the flames of dysfunction.

Both teams are in desperate need of a victory as they square off tonight at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

After getting of to a fantastic 5-1 start, the Bills have dropped three consecutive games, including Sunday’s 20-10 loss to the New England Patriots while failing to cover the spread for NFL sports betting backers as 3.5-point road favorites.

"We have to get our swagger back," running back Fred Jackson said. "Going into these last couple of weeks, we haven't had that normal swagger that we usually have. ... That's something we want to address, because we know we're better than we're playing."

Quarterback Trent Edwards was limited to 13 of 23 passing for 120 yards, tossing one touchdown but getting picked off twice in the loss. Running back Marshawn Lynch was held to just 46 yards on 14 carries.

"I think it's just the same old thing, little mistakes here or there that kill a drive ... it's tough to move the ball and consistently perform well when you continue to shoot yourself in the foot," Edwards told the Bills' official Web site. "That's what's been happening lately and we need to do a good job of fixing that pretty soon."

The Browns are coming off a disheartening 34-30 home loss to the Denver Broncos in which they allowed Denver to score three fourth quarter touchdowns to ruin a fine first start for backup quarterback Brady Quinn.

Quinn completed 23 of 35 passes for 239 yards and two touchdowns while veteran running back Jamal Lewis added 60 rushing yards on 19 carries with one touchdown.

"This is as frustrated as I've been in as many years as I've been playing," said Lewis. "I've never seen anything like it in my life. I'm just not cut from this kind of cloth. I play physical football. I come out here and give it my all - all week. This is the NFL. You can't call it quits until the game is over. But it looks to me like some people call it quits before that."

Joshua Cribbs, Cleveland’s All-Pro kick returner, agreed with Lewis' statements.

"We know if everybody didn't quit, we would've won that ballgame," he said.

Cleveland’s defense has been almost non-existent recently, giving up a whopping 496.5 yards per game in their last two losses.

"It seems like the word 'quit' has taken a life of its own and grown a little bit bigger, and now the Browns are quitters and the coach has lost control of the team and there's division in the locker room, and that's not the case," Crennel said. "These guys are going to play and play together. Whether we play good enough remains to be seen."

Here is a look at the key trends for each team, followed by my in-depth analysis and NFL Free Picks.

• The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
• The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 15 games
• Cleveland is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games
• Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games at home
• Buffalo is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games at home
• Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
• Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

NFL Odds

• Cleveland Browns +5½ -110
• Buffalo Bills -5½ -110
• Over 40½ -110
• Under 40½ -110

Analysis: I’ve got a strange feeling the Browns may actually cover the spread in this game, but I’m going to go against my better judgment and hope it doesn’t end up coming back to bite me in the rear end.

Take the absolutely desperate Buffalo Bills to bring their collective ‘A’ game and beat the Browns by the touchdown they need to cover the spread here at home.

NFL Free Picks: Bills 24 Browns 17

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns Point Spread Free Pick

NFL Betting Line: Buffalo -4 (42.5)

The Brady Quinn era started off with a thud, though the kid from Notre Dame put up some great numbers. It wasn’t his fault that the Browns lost to the Broncos either – I blame Kellen Winslow’s Swiss cheese hands. Cleveland has gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road and visit the Buffalo Bills, who have jeopardized a startling 4-0 star t with a recent 1-4 SU record.

Now the Bills are facing a potential elimination from Wildcard contention. The Jets are primed to takeover the AFC East, with the Patriots closely behind. Unless Buffalo can rally from three consecutive losses to AFC East opponents, their season is all but done. Trent Edwards is known for his fourth quarter comebacks. How is his second-half of the season resilience?

NFL Betting Trends

• -Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games
• -Cleveland is 8-17 SU in their last 23 games on the road
• -Buffalos is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
• -Buffalo is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
• -total has gone OVER in 6-of-8 at home for Buffalo

It’s far too early to call Brady Quinn the savior of Cleveland. He found some very nice rhythm with Kellen Winslow and Braylon, but let’s not forget that he was going up against one of the worst defenses in the league by playing Denver. Buffalo’s home passing defense ranks fifth in the NFL with 177.0 passing yards allowed. To match that offensively, they have the sixth best passing offense with 254.3 passing yards gained at Ralph Wilson. For Brady to prove how good he is, he’ll not only have to match a seasoned Trent Edwards, he’ll have to carve up a secondary blood thirsty to challenge him.

Cleveland Browns (3-6) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-4)

Monday, November 17th --- Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo --- 8:30pm EST

NFL Betting Line: Buffalo -4 (42.5)

For those of you living out East, then you know how cold it’s starting to get. That’s not the best of news when it comes to this game in the OVER. I’d take the UNDER if I were you. Brady will be frustrated by a stiff Buffalo defense that will pressure him to release before he wants to, and perhaps turn the ball over when he least expects to.

Buffalo is a balanced team and Trent Edwards got torched by three teams who have seen him play more than anyone else. Cleveland doesn’t have as much experience against the Stanford graduate, and while it’s tempting to ride the Buffalo bandwagon in to the dirt, my betting intuition leads me to believe that the defense is going to grab the reigns and turn this caravan around. The race to the AFC Wildcard is on for Buffalo…and they’re going to have to essentially win out to keep pace. What better place to prove yourself then under the sweltering lights of prime time against Pretty Boy himself.

NFL Free Pick: Buffalo -4 (UNDER)

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills Pointspread Free Pick

Cleveland Browns +5 -110 +200 O 42 ½ -110

Buffalo Bills -5 -110 -240 U 42 ½ -110

The Cleveland Browns, quitters in the eyes of NFL betting fans, travel to Buffalo to take on a Bills team that has fallen on hard times. Buffalo started this NFL season by going 4 and 0 straight-up and 4 and 1 against the BetUS online wagering spread. That was music to the ears of sports betting fans, but look at what has happened since. The Bills are now 5 and 4 straight-up and 4 and 5 against the BetUS online wagering spread. How bad is that? There doesn’t appear to be a reason why the wheels have fallen off in Buffalo. The Bills still have a terrific running back in Marshawn Lynch and a decent quarterback in Trent Edwards. It just doesn’t make sense.

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The Cleveland Browns, on the other hand, make plenty of sense. They just aren’t very good. I believe it’s time that football betting fans admit that the Browns are a bad team. Sure, they have a lot of weapons on both offense and defense, but that hasn’t translated into victories either straight-up or against the BetUS online wagering spread. At this point in the season the Browns are 3 and 6 straight-up and 5 and 4 against the BetUS online betting spread. They do have a winning margin against the spread, but I still have trouble endorsing these guys.

Here are a few online wagering trends that might help us find a good online bet in this game.

• The Cleveland Browns are 13 and 3 against the spread in their last 16 games versus a team with a winning record.
• The Over is 9-3-1 in the Cleveland Browns last 13 games versus a team with a winning record.
• The Buffalo Bills are 1 and 4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
• The Over is 6-1-1 in the Buffalo Bills last 8 home games.

The Bills and Browns are almost mirror teams of each other except the Bills have a better defense. The Browns should play much better in this game after every football fan in the country accused them of giving up in their loss to the Denver Broncos last week.

But it might not matter because the Bills are a more consistent team. With that being written, I sort of have to go with the Cleveland Browns in this one. The Bills haven’t covered a spread in a long time.

I don’t believe they have enough in the tank to cover 5 points. I just don’t see it. I’ll be placing an online bet on the Cleveland Browns to beat the 5 points BetUS online sportsbook betting spread.

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The sinking Buffalo Bills need a win Monday night against Cleveland to stay relevant in the vastly improved AFC East, and Buffalo is a 5-point favorite on WagerWeb.com.

The Bills have lost four of five, and the offense is the main culprit. The running game, despite the presence of Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson, has vanished. The Bills have totaled just 90 yards on the ground in their past two games and Lynch hasn’t yet topped 100 yards this season. Hey may have a shot Monday night as the Browns have given up 160.6 ypg on the ground since Oct. 12 - 30th in the league.

Then there’s QB Trent Edwards. He completed 69.7 percent of his passes and threw only two interceptions during Buffalo’s 5-1 start, compiling a 98.8 passer rating that at the time was fourth in the NFL. However in the past three games, all losses, he’s thrown five interceptions, has been sacked nine times and his quarterback rating since Oct. 26 is 67.3.

But again the Browns may be the answer to his problems, as they were just gouged for 447 passing yards by Denver’s Jay Cutler (the Browns’ defense has allowed an average of 496.5 yards in its last two games). The good news for Cleveland coming out of that loss was the play of QB Brady Quinn in his first start. Quinn completed 23 of 35 passes for 239 yards and two touchdowns in the 34-30 loss. He also made TE Kellen Winslow a big part of the offense for the first time this year, although top WR Braylon Edwards continued his disappointing play.

The Browns also rushed for a season-high 160 yards against Denver, while the Bills allowed New England 144 yards on the ground in last week’s loss. Cleveland RB Jamal Lewis is averaging just 3.6 yards per carry and has yet to have a 100-yard game.

The Bills have won three of the last four meetings with the Browns, including an 8-0 victory in Week 15 last season. Lewis had 163 yards rushing in that game for Cleveland.

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Pointspread Pick

The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1 SU & ATS), who were turned back in their season opener, look to bounce back in their 2008 home debut as they play host to the Buffalo Bills (1-0 SU & ATS) in NFL action that is set to begin at 1 PM ET at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium (natural turf) in Jacksonville.

Sunday, September 14

BetUS NFL Betting Odds: JACKSONVILLE -5.5, Total 37

NOTABLE STAT: Jacksonville had 33 rushing yards last week

KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Jags have played 11 of last 13 over the total

In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Jaguars are listed as a 5.5-point favorite, with a posted total of 37 points.

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Here are some NFL betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):

* BUFF has covered 10 of its last 14 games

* BUFF has covered four of its last six road games

* BUFF has lost 17 of its last 24 road games SU

* BUFF has played five of its last six road games UNDER the total

* JAX has covered eight of its last 11 games

* JAX has won 12 of its last 18 games SU

* JAX has played 11 of its last 13 games OVER the total

* JAX has covered five of its last six home games

* JAX has six of its last seven home games SU

* JAX has played five of its last six home games OVER the total

Also...

* BUFF has won and covered four of the last six meetings

Certainly the St. Louis Rams can sympathize with the kind of offensive line problem the jaguars are going through right now. Jacksonville has now lost its starting center, both starting guards, and key reserve lineman Richard Collier, who was shot last week. This leaves some critical holes for a team that prides itself on its power running game, and that showed last Sunday, when the Jags gained but 33 rushing yards on 17 attempts. The way this offense is structured, it can not, and is not intended to, rely on the arm of David Garrard, taking shots down the field while dealing with defenders in his face all afternoon (sacked seven times in the opener).

This is rapidly becoming a mess, and it demonstrates something we continually say, which is that you can replace skill players and "game plan" around their absence, but there is nothing you can do if you are shy in the area of the offensive line. So do not look for Jack Del Rio to come with a miracle cure against Buffalo, which sacked Matt Hasselbeck five times last week.

Meanwhile, though Buffalo's defensive line may not have been severely tested in last Sunday's 34-10 laugher, this is a healthier, more confident unit than it was last year. The Bills won't overwhelm a lot of people offensively, but they have a heady quarterback (Trent Edwards) who is proving to be a successful work in progress, a running back (Marshawn Lynch) that is willing AND able to carry a lot of the load, and, gee, look at Lee Evans, who had 102 receiving yards on just four catches.

Jacksonville's wideouts (Dennis Northcutt, Reggie Williams, Troy Williamson, etc.) are ill-suited to this pass-first situation, because they are far from threatening. And waiting to apply some additional pressure - and rub some salt in the wounds - is Buffalo's new defensive tackle, Marcus Stroud, the Jags' castoff who drew raves in his Bills debut. Oh, and by the way, the special teams dominance Buffalo showed against Seattle was no accident. The Bills, behind ST wizard Bobby April, possess possibly the best unit in the lea gue, and that unit will again be a factor.

We will not recommend Jacksonville with these offensive line problems. So we're taking all the way with the Bills, the 5.5-point underdog in the BetUS NFL football betting odds.

JAY'S PLAY: BUFFALO +5.5 ****

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)