Football Betting

Tour de France Betting - Stage 7

Tour de France betting update:  Broke even on stage 6 - 2 wins & 2 losses (overall 4 -4, even).

Stage 7 is finally here.  Its an epic day that ends with a brutal climb up long, steep bitch.  Take it easy though, cause we really don't know who'll be ready to rock n roll in the high mountains.  These are the Pyrenees, which are steeper than the monsters in the Alps.  True climbers usually have a sizable advantage here.

I'm going to start off with Zubeldia -200 over Popovych.  Zubeldia has always been able to handle the steep climbs, but the tactics of his previous squad were terrible.  He's been riding great even in the flatter stages and I'm pretty sure he'll be leading the Astana guys up a majority of the final climb.  Popo is going good too, but he'll be used to drive the A-train early on. 

Gerdemann +100 over Vandevelde.  Gerdemann will do fine. I think Vandevelde's lack of prep due to injury will show up tomorrow when everyone opens the pain locker.

Sastre +235 over Evans.  Evans is more of a grinder, better suited for the Alps.  Sastre is ridiculous and gets better as the mountains get super-steep. Tomorrow will be his day.

Tour de France betting available at The Greek and 5dimes

Tour de France Betting - Stage 6

Tour de France betting update:  Broke even on stage 5, 2 wins & 2 losses

Stage 6 is another flat stage until the very end, where they finish on a nasty little hill.  Its not a big enough hill for the climbers to do any damage, but could spoil the sprinters chances.  In the head to head match-ups I going with some of the guys who have success in the one-day races.  Tour de France betting available at The Greek and 5dimes

I'm usually hesitant to bet anyone who's a heavy favorite in head-to-head matchups, but I'm going to play Cancellara -250 over Wegmann.  Cancellara has been very attentive and I heard say he's got lots of power in his legs during an interview today.  He's the strongest of the strongmen and he'll go for the win before relinquishing the overall lead in the mountains on Friday.

Jens Voigt +100 over Frank Schleck seems to make sense too.  Voigt is a smart, dangerous and versatile rider.  This will be one of his few chances to grab a win and Schleck will be more interested in marking Lance, Contador and the other overall contenders.

Cancellara +130 over Kirchen too, see above.  Fabian drops the hammer.

Roman Kreuziger -140 over Nibali.  Kreuziger is on form, he's even fired on a few sprints.   The finish of stage 6 is right up his alley. Nibali is a great rider but Kreuziger is poised to make some noise in the Tour and tomorrow should be a good day for him

Good Luck!

Tour de France Betting - Stage 5

OK, I'm a big cycling nut.  Both 5dimes and The Greek are posting odds on the stage matchups, last year I turned a small profit thanks to a couple smart plays.  Here's the plan for stage 5...

Stage 5 at the Tour de France is nearly pancake flat and I don't see any way there will be another surprise split in the field like a couple days ago.  So, it's going to be a sprint finish.  Cavendish is the obvious winner, but he's expensive. I'm going to stay away from his matchups and look at a few others. 

Menchov +145 over Lance is a pure value bet.  Both guys will be happy to simply finish in the pack and neither will be fighting for position.  It's 50-50 on which guy crosses the line first, so Menchov's price is a bargain. 

Contador +210 over Evans, see above. It's the same deal, both guys will be in the pack and won't be fighting for position.

Yukiya Arashiro +100 over Roche.  The little Japanese dude has some jets.  You don't see many Japanese tour riders and I suspect he's here for a reason.  If he wins, I'm going to stay on him for a while.

Hushovd -155 over Boonen.  Thor looks like he's going good, just not good enough to take down Cav. Boonen has yet to get involved.  Until I see Boonen prove it, I'll consider him lucky to be here.

Good luck.